After all the hype, all Harry Reid's strutting, and even a Democratic debate at UNLV, only 33 percent of Nevada's voters said they would definitely or probably attend their party's Jan. 19 presidential caucuses, according to a statewide poll conducted for the Reno Gazette-Journal and published Sunday.

Add in the long campaign season, lackluster candidates, caucus complexities, and just fighting traffic and seasonal affective disorder--it's dark too early--and the actual turnout should be quite a bit lower, about the 20 percent who come out to give Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman his "mandate."